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2024-12-14 11:26:06

There are indications that the short-term trend of the market is not optimistic, or it needs to be cautious. In addition, I have told you before that the first few trading days of the market are above the offensive line and the pressure level, and the previous three consecutive trading days have been a breakthrough in the solid line, but today it has returned to the pressure level, that is, below 3428 points, indicating that the market is now back to the state of interval shock. If it returns to the state of interval shock, Then, once it falls below the short-term trend line again, the possibility of further testing the lower rail is not ruled out. At present, the support of the lower rail is around 3298 points, and the front is supported by a wave of lower rail that is adjusted and stepped back, which has stabilized and then ushered in this wave of rebound. Now that we are back below the pressure level again, we should be prepared for further weakening.The mid-cap stocks of CSI 500 also fell below the offensive line today, initially weakening, and the small-cap stocks with a large market value of CSI 1,000 also fell below the offensive line. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stocks also weakened completely in the short term, and so did the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50. Therefore, when the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stocks weakened, the market pressure was relatively large. When the heavyweights stopped falling and stabilized, the market pressure was relatively small.A shares: the central bank and other four departments released heavily! The disk is very clear, and there will be more changes next Monday.


In terms of quantity and energy, there is a certain volume today. Yesterday's turnover was 1.89 trillion, and today's turnover is 2.09 trillion, an increase of 200 billion. But this volume is something we don't want to see, because it is declining. Today's volume is in a state of decline, so we must be cautious. In addition, the short-term trend has weakened initially, so the amplification of today's volume is a bad sign.In terms of quantity and energy, there is a certain volume today. Yesterday's turnover was 1.89 trillion, and today's turnover is 2.09 trillion, an increase of 200 billion. But this volume is something we don't want to see, because it is declining. Today's volume is in a state of decline, so we must be cautious. In addition, the short-term trend has weakened initially, so the amplification of today's volume is a bad sign.Although the market plunged today, in fact, at the weekly level, it has not yet fallen below the offensive line, and it has remained intact in the medium and long term, so there is no need to worry too much for the time being. As long as the medium and long-term trend is good, the market still has a foundation for sustained strength, so be patient and wait for the adjustment to be in place.


The market rebounded for half an hour from 1: 30 to 2: 00, but when it rebounded to 3,425, it stopped abruptly, and it was almost the same without rushing up. If it could not stand on the offensive line, it could only turn its head down again, so it weakened again. The decline after 2 o'clock completely broke the hope of bottoming out today. At present, the index has returned to below the offensive line. The offensive line received 3,418.91 points today, and it will have to return to above 3,420 points at least next Monday, so that the short-term trend will have the possibility of getting better again, otherwise it will continue to be below the offensive line, that is, it will continue to weaken and cannot blindly intervene. Only in an upward trend can the index have a strong foundation.Although the market plunged today, in fact, at the weekly level, it has not yet fallen below the offensive line, and it has remained intact in the medium and long term, so there is no need to worry too much for the time being. As long as the medium and long-term trend is good, the market still has a foundation for sustained strength, so be patient and wait for the adjustment to be in place.Although the micro-cap stocks closed down today, they have not fallen below the short-term offensive line, and the short-term upward trend has not changed substantially. Entrepreneurial small-cap stocks have not fallen below the offensive line for the time being. If they fall again on Monday, they will fall below the offensive line, and the short-term trend will also weaken. The CSI 2,000 did not fall below the offensive line today, and the short-term trend is also good at present. Therefore, in general, the trend of small and micro-cap stocks, including entrepreneurial small-cap stocks, has not weakened initially, but if the market weakens further, the stocks will not be able to get out of the independent market, so we should also be cautious.

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